Our app is now open for testing!
COVID-19 continues to affect countries around the world, and while the accelerating distribution of vaccines is much welcomed news, it will be many months before enough people are vaccinated to achieve herd immunity and new COVID-19 variants present a continuing threat. In the meantime, we still need a data-driven, scientifically-sound way to quantify the risks of infection and reduce its spread.
In the future, Pandemonium's app and also its framework can be applied to new pandemics and outbreaks.
Pandemonium's risk app and framework differ from other risk apps. Pandemonium is
by incorporating user data so anyone can see their own COVID-19 risk estimate.
by incorporating data on the city and county level, allowing for more specific risk estimates.
to better represent viral transport between communities
to more accurately model, especially for locations with smaller case counts and populations.
allowing more detailed data & models to be added where available, making Pandemonium useful even for future pandemics and outbreak events that have yet to occur.
with an easy to use interface, making Pandemonium's risk app a powerful, useful tool even for non-epidemiologists.
While the app appears very simple to the user, it has a sophisticated Stochastic Heterogeneous Hybrid Spatially-Hierarchical/Dynamic and Demographically-structured Regional Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered-Dead (SEIRD) Compartmental model built on the Pyro Probabilistic Programming Language (PPL), using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and other statistical inference techniques.
We are excited to announce the launching of our Pandemonium Personal Risk Assessment app for testing. We are starting off with a very limited feature set, which will be gradually expanded on a rolling basis. We hope to use the first phase testing to receive user feedback, resolve issues promptly and make improvements before we scale it up further. We welcome those interested in helping with our first phase testing to sign up at firstname.lastname@example.org.
We are raising funds in order to be able to take this further. We hope to count on your generosity to help us scale up. We also need more volunteers with various skills, including non-technical, like legal, marketing, etc., as well as access to more data.
Our risk app's interface allows users to input to
input demographic and personal metrics such as age, sex, location, and vaccination status & dates as well as behavioral metrics such as mask usage, location history, quarantine periods, and planned travel.